数学季刊 ›› 2018, Vol. 33 ›› Issue (2): 122-131.doi: 10.13371/j.cnki.chin.q.j.m.2018.02.002

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逐步Ⅰ型混合截尾竞争失效模型的贝叶斯分析

  

  1. School of Mathematics and Statistics, Xidian University . School of Natural and Applied Sciences, Northwestern Polytechnical University.  School of Economics Management, Shanghai Maritime University.
  • 接受日期:2015-12-16 出版日期:2018-06-30 发布日期:2020-10-08
  • 作者简介:ZHANG Chun-fang(1989- ), female, native of Chongqing, Ph.D. engages in statistical inference for accelerated life testing in reliability analysis, competing risks model, and analysis of censored data.
  • 基金资助:
    Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(71571144,71401134,71171164,11701406); Supported by the International Cooperation and Exchanges in Science and Technology Program of Shaanxi Province(2016KW-033);

Bayesian Inference on Type-I Progressively Hybrid Competing Risks Model

  1. School of Mathematics and Statistics, Xidian University . School of Natural and Applied Sciences, Northwestern Polytechnical University.  School of Economics Management, Shanghai Maritime University.
  • Accepted:2015-12-16 Online:2018-06-30 Published:2020-10-08
  • About author:ZHANG Chun-fang(1989- ), female, native of Chongqing, Ph.D. engages in statistical inference for accelerated life testing in reliability analysis, competing risks model, and analysis of censored data.
  • Supported by:
    Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(71571144,71401134,71171164,11701406); Supported by the International Cooperation and Exchanges in Science and Technology Program of Shaanxi Province(2016KW-033);

摘要: In this paper, we construct a Bayesian framework combining Type-Ⅰ progressively hybrid censoring scheme and competing risks which are independently distributed as exponentiated Weibull distribution with one scale parameter and two shape parameters. Since there exist unknown hyper-parameters in prior density functions of shape parameters, we consider the hierarchical priors to obtain the individual marginal posterior density functions,Bayesian estimates and highest posterior density credible intervals. As explicit expressions of estimates cannot be obtained, the componentwise updating algorithm of Metropolis-Hastings method is employed to compute the numerical results. Finally, it is concluded that Bayesian estimates have a good performance.

关键词: Competing risks, Hierarchical Bayesian inference, Progressively hybrid censoring, Metropolis-Hastings algorithm

Abstract: In this paper, we construct a Bayesian framework combining Type-Ⅰ progressively hybrid censoring scheme and competing risks which are independently distributed as exponentiated Weibull distribution with one scale parameter and two shape parameters. Since there exist unknown hyper-parameters in prior density functions of shape parameters, we consider the hierarchical priors to obtain the individual marginal posterior density functions,Bayesian estimates and highest posterior density credible intervals. As explicit expressions of estimates cannot be obtained, the componentwise updating algorithm of Metropolis-Hastings method is employed to compute the numerical results. Finally, it is concluded that Bayesian estimates have a good performance.

Key words: Competing risks, Hierarchical Bayesian inference, Progressively hybrid censoring, Metropolis-Hastings algorithm

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